Electronic Resources:	http://sirius.library.unsw.edu.au:9003/sfx_local?url_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&genre=article&sid=ProQ:ProQ%3Acriminaljusticeperiodicalsshell&atitle=Can+We+Sensibly+Combine+Dynamic+and+Actuarial+Assessment%3F+A+Comment&title=Sexual+Abuse+in+Australia+and+New+Zealand&issn=18338488&date=2013-05-01&volume=5&issue=1&spage=10&au=Lennings%2C+Chris&isbn=&jtitle=Sexual+Abuse+in+Australia+and+New+Zealand&bt[cut]
Web resource:	https://search.proquest.com/docview/1355441809?accountid=12763
Type:	Journal Article
Title:	Can We Sensibly Combine Dynamic and Actuarial Assessment? A Comment
Other Titles:	Sexual Abuse in Australia and New Zealand
Authors:	Lennings, Chris
Year:	2013
Publisher:	Australia and New Zealand Association for the Treatment of Sexual Abuse (A NZATS A)
Citation:	No 1 Vol.: 5
Notes:	There is a strong tradition of assessing the predictive validity of actuarial and dynamic risk assessment instruments. To date the bulk of studies indicate moderate predictive validity of both actuarial and dynamic measures. However, the critical issue remains largely neglected: the best way to combine actuarial and dynamic risk measures so as to improve the overall risk assessment. This commentary indicates three strategies that might be subject to empirical investigation. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT] Copyright - Copyright Australia and New Zealand Association for the Treatment of Sexual Abuse (A NZATS A) May 2013Document feature - ReferencesLast updated - 2013-05-27ReferencesAllan, A., Dawson, D., & Allan, M. (2006) Prediction of the risk of male sexual reoffending in Australia. Australian Psychologist, 41, 60-68;Andrews, D. A. & Bonta, J. (1994) The psychology of criminal conduct. Cincinnati, OH: Anderson.Beggs, S. M, & Grace, R. C. (2010) Assessment of dynamic risk factors: An independent validation study of the Violence Risk Scale: Sexual Offender Version. Sex Abuse, 22, 234-251.Boer, D. (2006) Sexual offender risk assessment strategies: is there a convergence of opinion yet?Sexual Offender Treatment, 1, (2)Boer, D., Hart, S., Kropp, P., & Webster, C. (1997). Manual for the Sexual Violence Risk-20 British Columbia Institute Against Family Violence: Vancouver.Bolton, A., & Lennings, C. J. (2010) Clinical opinions of structured risk assessments for forensic child protection: The development of a clinically relevant device. Children and Youth Services Review. 32, 1300-1310Craissati, J., & Beech, A. (2006). The role of key developmental variables in identifying sex offenders likely to fail in the community: An enhanced risk prediction model. Child Abuse & Neglect, 30, 327-339.Doyle, D. J., Ogloff, J. R. P., & Thomas, S. D. (2011) An analysis of dangerous sexual offender assessment reports: Recommendations for best practice. Psychiatry, Psychology and the Law. 18, 537-556.Greenberg, D. M., Da Silva, J. & Loh, N. (2002). Evaluation of the Western Australian Sex Offender Treatment Unit (1987-1999): A quantitative analysis. UWA, Crime Research Centre.Hanson, R. K. 1997. The Development of a Brief Actuarial Risk Scale for Sexual Offence Recidivism User Report 1997-04. Department of the Solicitor General of Canada, Ottawa, Canada. Available at: www.ps-sp.gc.ca/res/cor/repHanson, R. K., & Morton-Bourgon, K. E. (2009). The accuracy of recidivism risk assessments for sexual offenders: A meta-analysis of 118 prediction studies. Psychological Assessment, 21, 1-21.Harris, A. J. R., & Hanson, R. H. (2010) Clinical, actuarial and dynamic risk assessment of sexual offenders: Why do things keep changing? Journal of Sexual Aggression. 16, 296-310.Harris , A. J. R. , Phenix , A. , Hanson , R. K. & Thornton, D. (2003). STATIC-99 Coding rules - Revised 2003 .Department of the Solicitor General of Canada, Ottawa, Canada. Available at: www.pssp. gc.ca/res/cor/repHart, S., Kropp, P. R., Laws, D. R., Klaver, J., Logan, C., & Watt, K. A. (2003). The Risk for Sexual Violence Protocol (RSVP): Structured professional guidelines for assessing risk of sexual violence. Vancouver, BC, Canada: The Institute Against Family Violence.Keyzer, P., Pereira, C., & Southwood, S. (2004) Preemptive imprisonment for dangerousness in Queensland under the Dangerous Prisoners (Sexual Offenders) Act 2003: The constitutional issues. Psychiatry, Psychology and the Law, 11, 244-253.Lennings, C., Seidler, K., Heard, R., Collins, E., & Nasr, R. (2011). Age and the Static 99R. Sexual Abuse in Australia and New Zealand: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 3, 34-41.Martien W. G., Philipse, M. W. G., Koeter, M. W. J., van der Staak, C. P. F., & van den Brink, W. (2006). Static and dynamic patient characteristics as predictors of criminal recidivism: A prospective study in a Dutch forensic psychiatric sample. Law & Human Behaviour, 30, 309-326.Ogloff, J. R. P., & Doyle, D. J. (2009). A clarion call: Caution and humility must be there when assessing risk for sexual violence under Post-Sentence laws. Sexual Abuse in Australia and New Zealand: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 1, 59-69.Olver, M., Wong, S.C.P., Nicholaichuk, T., & Gordon, A. (2007) The validity and reliability of the Violence Risk Scale - Sexual offender version: Assessing sex offender risk and evaluating therapeutic change. Psychological Assessment, 19, 318-329.Rettenberger, M., Hucker, S. J., Boer, D. P., & Eher, R. (2009) The reliability and validity of the Sexual Violence Risk-20 (SVR-20): An international review. Sexual Offender Treatment, 4, 14 pages.Schwalbe, C. S. (2008) Strengthening the integration of actuarial risk assessment with clinical judgement in an evidence based framework. Children and Youth Services Review, 30, 1458-1464.Schwalbe, C. S., Fraser, M. W., & Day, S. H. (2006). Predictive validity of the Joint Risk Matrix with juvenile offenders .Journal of Offender Reha[cut]
URI:	https://anrows.intersearch.com.au/anrowsjspui/handle/1/13703
ISSN:	18338488
Physical description:	Pages 10-14
Appears in Collections:	Journal Articles

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