Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://anrows.intersearch.com.au/anrowsjspui/handle/1/22651
Record ID: 2d4c7c2e-7a10-4576-bc7f-cbb8cbf333d0
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dc.contributor.authorZhang, Yunen
dc.contributor.authorCorben, Simonen
dc.contributor.authorHoward, Marken
dc.contributor.authorWei, Zhigangen
dc.coverage.spatialNSWen
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-06T05:52:50Z-
dc.date.available2023-03-06T05:52:50Z-
dc.date.issued2022en
dc.identifier.citationNo. 53en
dc.identifier.urihttps://anrows.intersearch.com.au/anrowsjspui/handle/1/22651-
dc.description.abstractAim<br/ >To develop an automated risk assessment tool that can be used to rapidly estimate custody-based DV<br/ >offenders’ likelihood of DV recidivism, using official administrative data that are routinely collected by<br/ >Corrective Services NSW.<br/ ><br/ >Method<br/ >The model development sample included all males in NSW who served a custodial sentence associated with<br/ >one or more DV convictions between January 2013 and June 2017 (n = 6,100). A series of regression models<br/ >were used to test predictors of DV recidivism and develop optimal estimates of recidivism probability. The final<br/ >model was validated using bootstrapping techniques and various tests of predictive validity.<br/ ><br/ >Results<br/ >Significant predictors of DV recidivism included age; alcohol and other drug problems; markers of a more<br/ >extensive general criminal history; being released without the possibility of parole; and Indigenous status, as<br/ >well as DV-specific variables such as prior sentences involving DV convictions and breaches of protection<br/ >orders. The final estimation model, which we named the DV-TRAS, showed acceptable discrimination<br/ >performance for DV recidivism (AUC = .660; 95% CI = .646-.675) that was significantly better than routine<br/ >assessments of general recidivism risk. Bootstrapping techniques indicated satisfactory stability of the model<br/ >across simulated samples.<br/ ><br/ >Conclusion<br/ >The DV-TRAS appears to be a viable tool to support case management decision making for custody-based DV<br/ >offenders in NSW. Key tests of predictive validity indicated accuracy in discriminating DV recidivists that was<br/ >significantly better than general risk assessments, and similar to that of established manual assessments of<br/ >offence-specific risk, while allowing for substantial time and resource savings in generating estimates.en
dc.languageenen
dc.publisherCorrective Services NSWen
dc.relation.ispartofResearch Bulletinen
dc.source/mnt/conversions/anrows/filesen
dc.subjectPerpetratorsen
dc.titleActuarial assessment of domestic violence recidivism risk among custody-based males: The Domestic Violence – Triage Risk Assessment Scale (DV-TRAS)en
dc.typeReporten
dc.identifier.catalogid17311en
dc.identifier.urlhttps://correctiveservices.dcj.nsw.gov.au/csnsw-home/resources/research-and-reports/corrections-research-evaluation-and-statistics/research-bulletin.htmlen
dc.subject.keywordnew_recorden
dc.subject.readinglistNSWen
dc.subject.readinglistData developmenten
dc.subject.readinglistHealth, primary care and specialist service responsesen
dc.subject.readinglistPopulations: Otheren
dc.subject.readinglistANROWS Notepad 2022 June 30en
dc.date.entered2022-06-24en
dc.subject.listANROWS Notepad 2022 June 30en
dc.subject.anratopicHealth, primary care and specialist service responsesen
dc.subject.anratopicData and statisticsen
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